Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Boone, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
North Carolina Central (21-28, Road 5-14) |
0 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +2.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
|
Appalachian State (22-31, Home 13-14) |
13 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 13 (2) |
6 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Athens, GA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Georgia State (14-41, Road 5-19) |
1 | 2 | +7.0 | 27% | 11 | ✔ | 0 | +11.5 | 6% | ✔ | |
|
Georgia (46-17, Home 30-5) |
11 | 9 | -7.0 | 73% | Actual: 12 (1) |
11 | -11.5 | 94% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Texas State (36-20, Road 14-8) |
1 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 53% | ✔ | |
|
Incarnate Word (37-22, Home 21-10) |
6 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 7 (-5) |
6 | -0.5 | 47% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lafayette, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northwestern State (29-25, Road 9-15) |
3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
|
Louisiana (28-31, Home 16-15) |
8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (0) |
5 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Starkville, MS | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Little Rock (29-28, Road 11-14) |
4 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 13 | ✔ | 2 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
|
Mississippi State (52-15, Home 37-5) |
15 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 19 (6) |
9 | -7.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| New Orleans, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
South Alabama (30-26, Road 10-15) |
5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
|
New Orleans (29-27, Home 20-11) |
7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 12 (-1) |
5 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Hattiesburg, MS | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
ULM (27-31, Road 8-14) |
4 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | 14 | ✔ | 4 | +4.5 | 26% | ✔ | |
|
Southern Miss (40-21, Home 22-8) |
5 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 9 (-5) |
9 | -4.5 | 74% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charleston, SC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Georgia Southern (35-24, Road 14-13) |
6 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 11 | ✔ | 9 | -8.5 | 88% | ✔ | |
|
The Citadel (12-43, Home 10-17) |
2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
0 | +8.5 | 12% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Columbus, OH | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
TCU (34-28, Neutral 9-5) |
5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 67% | ✔ | |
|
UTA (32-26, Neutral 1-3) |
3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
3 | +2.5 | 33% | |||